One stock, seven quotas:2.2 times what the science allows.
ICES advised no more than 174,357 t of Northeast Atlantic mackerel for 2026. The UK, Norway, the Faroes and Iceland agreed 299,010 t among themselves. The EU, Russia and Greenland set their own. Together they set 390,909 t. For 2027 ICES now advises up to 352,938 t, and the talks have begun.
Modelled scenarios from sourced figures. The parties are simulated. Nothing here is a binding determination.
ICES advice 2026
174,357t
Quotas set
0t
Over the science
0%
Times the advice
0×
All seven quotas390,909 t
White line: ICES advice. Dashed: the 299,010 t TAC the four agreed.
Catch at sealowhigh
Scenario: All seven quotas (2026)
0days left in the 2026 quota year
Columns stand where each party fishes: outline, the 2026 quota; violet, the part above the white tick. Heat: the scenario's catch. Fishing areas, migration route, catch flow and the international waters marker are illustrative. White tick: pro rata share of the ICES advice (modelled, no agreed split exists). Terrain: NASA Visible Earth. Ask and Negotiate are live AI working from the sourced figures; the parties are simulated.